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Insights
We bring you expert insights and intriguing facts from the world of risk intelligence
in Central and Eastern Europe


Russo-Ukrainian War in 2026: Negotiations without a durable outcome
Pressure toward ending the war is building on both sides, albeit for different reasons. Russia faces mounting economic strain and elite fatigue, while Ukraine is constrained by capacity limits and growing exhaustion. These dynamics increase the likelihood of negotiations – but not of a durable settlement.
Feb 262 min read


Poland 2026 Outlook: Economic momentum, political constraints
Poland will enter 2026 with strong economic momentum and an increasingly complex political environment.
Feb 32 min read


Czechia 2026 Outlook: Coalition fragility and shifting policy priorities
Czechia is likely to enter 2026 without abrupt systemic change, but with a political trajectory that gradually reshapes institutional balances and policy priorities.
Jan 272 min read


Slovakia 2026 Outlook: Pre-election tensions meet a fiscal squeeze
While the parliamentary election is scheduled for 2027, the political battles will already intensify in 2026 – and they will collide with the tangible effects of the latest rounds of fiscal consolidation.
Jan 223 min read


Hungary 2026 Outlook: A Defining Election Year
Looking ahead to 2026, it is shaping up to be one of the most pivotal and consequential years for Hungary.
Jan 202 min read


Gazprom’s Grip: Russian Energy Leverage and Moldova’s Response
Moldova’s gradual shift away from Russian energy dependency has become a defining factor in its political and strategic realignment.
Nov 6, 20258 min read


Czech Parliamentary Elections 2025: Can Babiš Turn Victory Into Lasting Power?
The Czech Republic enters its 2025 parliamentary elections in an atmosphere of expectation and unease. Polls suggest Andrej Babiš is...
Oct 1, 20257 min read


Slovakia Announces Third Consolidation Package
The Slovak government has unveiled a new fiscal consolidation package aimed at reducing the public finance deficit to 4% of GDP by 2026....
Sep 18, 20256 min read


Democratic Backsliding in Europe: Rising Political Risks in a Changing Landscape in the CEE region
In recent years, Europe has experienced democratic backsliding, where once-stable democratic institutions are increasingly undermined by...
Aug 7, 20255 min read
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