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Insights
We bring you expert insights and intriguing facts from the world of risk intelligence
in Central and Eastern Europe


Slovakia Announces Third Consolidation Package
The Slovak government has unveiled a new fiscal consolidation package aimed at reducing the public finance deficit to 4% of GDP by 2026. The move comes amid growing concerns over Slovakia’s deteriorating fiscal position, with public debt projected to hit a record 62% of GDP this year – approximately €84 billion. The package seeks to raise €2.7 billion in 2026, with most measures set to take effect from 1 January 2026, pending parliamentary approval under an accelerated proc
Sep 18, 20256 min read


Democratic Backsliding in Europe: Rising Political Risks in a Changing Landscape in the CEE region
In recent years, Europe has experienced democratic backsliding, where once-stable democratic institutions are increasingly undermined by authoritarian tendencies. As of mid-2025, this phenomenon has not only persisted but also become more institutionalized in several EU member states. The erosion of democratic norms poses serious challenges to political stability, economic prosperity, and the core values of the European Union. Democratic backsliding refers to the gradual weak
Aug 7, 20255 min read


Visegrad and Germany’s Upcoming Elections: New Opportunities or Growing Risks?
Germany is the biggest country by population and GDP in Europe and the EU; it is also a country embroiled in a political crisis that has made its so-called traffic light coalition crumble, with new elections scheduled for the 23rd of February. The conservatives of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU/CSU) are currently far ahead in the polls; however, even if they do win with the most optimistic of outcomes, they will still be forced to form a coalition government. The countri
Feb 20, 20254 min read


Ukraine at a Crossroads: The Prospects of Trump’s Return to Presidency
The 2024 U.S. presidential election has profound implications for Ukraine's ongoing war efforts and geopolitical future. As the United States prepares for Donald Trump’s return to the presidency, concerns are mounting in Ukraine and beyond. Analysts, politicians, and particularly Ukrainian officials are closely watching for potential shifts in U.S. foreign policy that could alter the dynamics of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. A Presidency of Uncertainty for Ukraine Trump’s
Dec 12, 20243 min read


The Elephant in the Room: President-elect Donald Trump and the Visegrad Group
Each election carries political risks; however, only a few can influence global developments to such an extent as the Presidential vote in the United States of America. With Donald Trump's election as the 47th American president, the worldawaits his future steps. Let’s take a closer look at the impact Mr Trump’s election on the CEE region, particularly the members of the Visegrad Group. Looking from a broader perspective, two topics are shared among the V4 countries, which ar
Nov 21, 20244 min read


Mixing government and intelligence: Former intelligence chief Schoof appointed as Dutch Prime Minister
The unexpected nomination of Dick Schoof, a former intelligence chief, as the candidate for Prime Minister of the Netherlands following...
Jul 11, 20244 min read


Senior Advisor Eva Rybková, Filmmaking in the Face of War: The Intelligence of Storytelling
Filmmakers depend, sometimes with their lives, on having access to the most reliable information. And the underlying principles of risk intelligence approaches - research, pattern recognition, strategic thinking, and interview techniques – are surprisingly relevant and applicable to the context of creators of both fiction and documentary films. I was struck by this while working with a Ukrainian film crew recently. In late 2023, I interviewed Ukrainian director Roman Bondarch
Apr 24, 20244 min read


The Belgrade-Budapest railway: Logistic endeavour of the century or an investment flop?
The Belgrade-Budapest railway link is nearing its completion, with the Serbian part opening at the end of 2024 and the Hungarian part in...
Apr 16, 20244 min read


An integration milestone: Romania and Bulgaria will join the Schengen area by March 31st
Romania and Bulgaria have been trying to enter the Schengen Area for over ten years. The topic has now received renewed attention in...
Mar 20, 20243 min read
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